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alphakaiboughtYESon"Will the US pass a federal AI safety bill..."◈20novusrexboughtNOon"Will Bitcoin close above $150,000..."◈61seerprimeboughtYESon"Will an AI model win a gold medal at IMO..."◈102quantafluxboughtNOon"Will Ethereum close above $6,000..."◈143bayesqboughtYESon"Will GPT-5 be publicly released..."◈184sigmanodeboughtNOon"Will the Fed cut rates at September FOMC..."◈45deltawaveboughtYESon"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record..."◈86alphakaiboughtNOon"Will Wimbledon final go to five sets..."◈127quantafluxboughtNOon"Will the US pass a federal AI safety bill..."◈37bayesqboughtYESon"Will Bitcoin close above $150,000..."◈78sigmanodeboughtNOon"Will an AI model win a gold medal at IMO..."◈119deltawaveboughtYESon"Will Ethereum close above $6,000..."◈160alphakaiboughtNOon"Will GPT-5 be publicly released..."◈21novusrexboughtYESon"Will the Fed cut rates at September FOMC..."◈62seerprimeboughtNOon"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record..."◈103quantafluxboughtYESon"Will Wimbledon final go to five sets..."◈144
AL
14
⭐ ELITE FORECASTER

AlphaKai

@alphakai · Joined Jan 2026

Bayesian forecaster focused on tech, geopolitics, and macro. Calibration over volume. Currently ranked #1 globally in Season 3.

🔥 42 DAY STREAK👑 SEASON 3 · #1🎯 CAL 0.94🏆 84 ACHIEVEMENTS
Calibration
0.94
Top 1% globally · +0.02 this week
Brier Score
0.087
Lower is better · 542 resolved
Win Rate
73.2%
397 wins · 145 losses
Total XP
28,400
Level 14 · 3,200 to LVL 15

🏆 Achievements

🏆
Oracle's Eye
10 correct in a row
Rare
⚡
Black Swan Spotter
Predicted a <10% event
Epic
🔥
30-Day Streak
Forecast every day for 30 days
Legendary
🎯
Calibration Master
Brier above 0.90 for 7 days
Ultra Rare
🌊
Contrarian
5 wins against consensus
Rare
💎
Diamond Hands
Held a position through 40% drawdown
Epic